Alavés vs Real Madrid: Head-to-Head, Lineups, and Match Prediction

Alavés vs Real Madrid at Mendizorroza is one of the most talked‑about La Liga fixtures this week, with Real Madrid under pressure and Alavés strong at home. This preview covers Alavés vs Real Madrid head‑to‑head, predicted lineups, match prediction, and how to approach bets smartly with Tenexch and other betting tools.​

Alavés vs Real Madrid match overview

Real Madrid visit Alavés for La Liga Matchday 16, kicking off at Estadio de Mendizorroza in Vitoria‑Gasteiz. Madrid have only two wins in their last eight matches in all competitions, piling pressure on coach Xabi Alonso.​

Alavés started the round in mid‑table (around 11th), with a positive home record this season: four wins, two draws, and two defeats at Mendizorroza. They have just beaten Real Sociedad 1–0 in La Liga and won 3–0 at Portugalete in the Copa del Rey, which boosts confidence ahead of this clash.​

For Tenexch users, this is a classic “big favorite vs awkward host” game, similar to a strong IPL side visiting a tricky away venue. Bettors are watching to see if Real Madrid’s star attack can overcome injuries and recent poor form in a tough stadium.

Head‑to‑head stats that matter

Historically, Real Madrid have dominated this matchup. In one recent head‑to‑head dataset (league era sample), Madrid have 17 wins from 19, with Alavés taking just two and no draws. Madrid have scored 50 goals (2.63 per game) against Alavés and conceded only 11 (0.58 per game) in that span.​

In a recent meeting, Real Madrid edged Alavés 2–1, with Kylian Mbappé scoring first, Carlos Vicente equalising, and Rodrygo netting the late winner to keep Madrid within three points of Barcelona. For bettors, this tells a story: Real usually win, but Alavés can hang in and force tight games, making handicap and goal lines more nuanced.​

Match prediction and tactical analysis

Alavés under Eduardo Coudet are compact, organized, and better at home than away, conceding around 0.6 goals per game at Mendizorroza recently. They try to defend deep, crowd central areas, and hit on the counter through runners like Samu and Carlos Vicente plus target man Lucas Boyé.​

Real Madrid arrive with a weakened defence but a world‑class front line led by Mbappé and Vinícius Jr. Xabi Alonso is likely to push his full‑backs high and use Bellingham between the lines, trusting the attack to outscore any defensive wobbles.​

A simple, data‑driven prediction: Real Madrid win a tight game, something like 2–0 or 2–1 away. Madrid’s away expected goals (xG) figure of roughly 1.9 per match suggests they should create enough chances, even against a disciplined home side.​

Think of it like a Test match where the stronger team chases 280 on a worn pitch: not easy, but with class batters and patience, they usually get there. In the same way, Real Madrid’s quality should edge Alavés, but any early “wicket” (red card, injury, early Alavés goal) could flip the script and live prices.

Betting tips and odds overview (Tenexch angle)

Exact markets differ by bookmaker, but most have Real Madrid as clear favourites, Alavés as outsiders, and the draw in between. On Tenexch, this can be approached like a cricket betting exchange: rather than only backing the winner, you can explore markets that reflect game flow.​

Safer‑style angles (relatively):

• Madrid to win or Draw (Double Chance): Protects against an Alavés upset while still backing Madrid’s strength.​
• Under 3.5 Total Goals: Alavés home games have been low‑scoring; Madrid also have struggled to dominate recently.​

Higher‑risk, higher‑reward ideas:

• Correct Score 1–2 / 0–2: Fits the prediction of a narrow away win; prices usually more generous.​
• Anytime Scorer: Mbappé or Vinícius Jr: Both are heavily involved in Madrid’s xG and shots.​

Remember that odds change quickly during live cricket betting and also in live football betting. One early goal or red card at Mendizorroza can move lines like a wicket in the powerplay does on cricket exchange live markets. Set a budget before kick‑off on your match betting app or cricket betting app and avoid chasing if the game swings against you.

Key players to watch

• Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid): Fit again and expected to start; his pace, shots and penalties make him the focal point for goals markets.​
• Vinícius Jr (Real Madrid): One‑on‑one dribbler who wins fouls, cards, and creates big chances, affecting corners, cards, and assists props.​
• Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid): Arrives late in the box, a threat for shots and goals from midfield.​
• Lucas Boyé (Alavés): Target man; if Alavés score, he’s a prime candidate, useful for long‑shot anytime scorer picks.​
• Sivera (Alavés goalkeeper): Likely to face many shots; saves markets can be interesting when Madrid dominate.​

Just as you track a strike bowler or top batter before you bet online cricket, tracking these names helps shape your slips for this football fixture.

Team news, injuries and Alavés vs Real Madrid lineups

Alavés are missing defender Nikola Maras (knee) and Facundo Garcés (suspension), while Jon Guridi is doubtful with a knee issue. Despite these absences, their core XI remains stable.​

Real Madrid have a long injury and suspension list: Dani Carvajal, Ferland Mendy, Trent Alexander‑Arnold, and Éder Militão are all ruled out, with Fran García, Álvaro Carreras, and Endrick suspended. Eduardo Camavinga, David Alaba, Dean Huijsen, and even Mbappé have been listed as doubtful in recent days, though Mbappé is now expected to be fit.​

Probable Alavés vs Real Madrid lineups

Team	Expected XI	Notes
Alavés	Sivera; Andoni Gorosabel/Otto, Nahuel Tenaglia, Rubén Duarte/Pacheco, Javi López/Parada; Guevara; Calebe, Ibañez, Denis Suárez, Rebbach/Vicente; Lucas Boyé	Maras, Garcés out; Guridi doubtful.​
Real Madrid	Courtois; Valdepeñas, Rüdiger/ Huijsen, Nacho, makeshift LB; Tchouaméni, Modrić, Bellingham; Rodrygo, Mbappé, Vinícius Jr	Several defenders injured or suspended.​

Always confirm final Alavés vs Real Madrid lineups 30–60 minutes before kick‑off using a trusted source or your betting app, just like checking XIs before placing cricket bet online slips.​

Recent form and performance

Alavés come into this fixture with improved momentum: a Copa del Rey win (3–0 vs Portugalete) and a 1–0 league win over Real Sociedad in December. At home, they concede less than a goal a game recently, showing Mendizorroza is not easy for visitors.​

Real Madrid, by contrast, have only two wins in eight, including La Liga and Champions League games, with talk of pressure and a “crunch game” for Alonso. They still sit near the top of the table but cannot keep dropping points if they want to stay close to Barcelona.​

For bettors on online cricket betting sites who are using Tenexch to diversify into football, this contrast suggests Real Madrid should not be treated as automatic multi‑slip anchors. Think like you would with a strong T20 team that has lost form: respect quality, but price in volatility.

Alavés vs Real Madrid live stream and tickets

Fans searching for Alavés vs Real Madrid live stream can usually watch via licensed broadcasters: Movistar LaLiga or DAZN in Spain, and services like ESPN+ or fuboTV in some international markets. Always choose official streams through your betting app or regional partners, not random links.​

For Alavés vs Real Madrid tickets, check the Alavés official website, La Liga’s official ticketing channels, or verified resale platforms. Because Real Madrid are visitors, demand and prices are higher than average; avoid unverified social sellers, just as you would avoid shady “bookies” when picking an online betting id provider.​

Upcoming fixtures and impact on motivation

For Real Madrid, this is the last away league match of 2025, followed by a Copa del Rey trip to Talavera and a home La Liga game vs Sevilla. They need maximum points to reach the winter break close to the top of the table, which means strong motivation and less rotation than usual.​

Alavés, safely mid‑table, can treat this as a free hit: a chance to shock a giant and energize their season. This underdog mentality can make them dangerous, especially early on, similar to a mid‑table IPL side swinging hard in the powerplay. For Tenexch users, that can create brief value windows in live markets if Madrid start slowly.​

FAQs about Alavés vs Real Madrid and betting

Who will win Alavés vs Real Madrid?
Data and squad quality point towards a Real Madrid win, likely by a one‑ or two‑goal margin. Alavés’ strong home form makes an upset possible, but the most logical prediction is 0–2 or 1–2 to Madrid.​

What are the betting odds for this match?
Most bookies list Real Madrid as odds‑on favourites, Alavés as big underdogs, and the draw at medium odds. Side markets like under 3.5 goals, BTTS, or anytime scorers can often hold better value than simply backing the 1X2 favourite.​

Which app is best to bet on Alavés vs Real Madrid?
Look for a licensed match betting app that also covers cricket betting sites, so you can shift between football and bet online cricket from one balance. Tenexch is designed for this style of multi‑sport action, with t20 exchange login‑like flexibility and clear markets.

How to get an online cricket ID for betting?
Sign up on a trusted online betting id provider, complete KYC, and link secure payments to create a cricket online id. Once active, you can use that same cricket id for football fixtures like Alavés vs Real Madrid and for cricket satta app style markets.

Is live betting available for this match?
Yes, major platforms including Tenexch offer live in‑play markets on Alavés vs Real Madrid. Treat it like live cricket betting: odds change quickly after goals, VAR checks, or cards, so set limits in advance and never chase.​

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Use your Tenexch account as a best cricket betting app‑style hub: track cricket exchange live odds, explore cricket casino games, and back Alavés vs Real Madrid winners from the same wallet. Start small, use stats like the ones above, and keep every bet—whether on La Liga or live cricket betting—within a limit you’re comfortable with.

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